Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.570619e-05 1.908303e-05 0.000023 0.000027 0.000032 0.000037 0.000044
2025-11-09 1.051754e-05 1.456027e-05 0.000019 0.000026 0.000033 0.000041 0.000052
2025-11-16 7.453460e-06 1.167620e-05 0.000017 0.000025 0.000034 0.000045 0.000060
2025-11-23 5.627043e-06 9.902085e-06 0.000016 0.000024 0.000036 0.000050 0.000069
2025-11-30 4.278023e-06 8.455609e-06 0.000015 0.000024 0.000037 0.000054 0.000078
2025-12-07 3.111289e-06 6.985617e-06 0.000013 0.000023 0.000038 0.000057 0.000084
2025-12-14 2.191261e-06 5.665396e-06 0.000012 0.000022 0.000037 0.000059 0.000089
2025-12-21 1.579133e-06 4.716999e-06 0.000011 0.000021 0.000037 0.000061 0.000095
2025-12-28 1.158238e-06 4.011266e-06 0.000010 0.000020 0.000038 0.000063 0.000101
2026-01-04 8.005714e-07 3.302036e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000038 0.000065 0.000106
2026-01-11 6.029617e-07 2.909421e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000039 0.000068 0.000113
2026-01-18 5.094185e-07 2.774950e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000041 0.000074 0.000124
2026-01-25 3.322810e-07 2.332956e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000043 0.000079 0.000135
2026-02-01 1.659635e-07 1.735557e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000043 0.000081 0.000142
2026-02-08 7.968589e-08 1.326845e-06 0.000006 0.000018 0.000043 0.000084 0.000151
2026-02-15 3.959296e-08 1.078980e-06 0.000006 0.000018 0.000044 0.000089 0.000163
2026-02-22 1.676350e-08 8.641572e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000045 0.000093 0.000174
2026-03-01 4.236541e-09 6.354799e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000045 0.000095 0.000182
2026-03-08 3.821021e-10 4.397187e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000045 0.000097 0.000188
2026-03-15 1.012535e-12 3.125953e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000045 0.000099 0.000196
2026-03-22 NaN 2.270052e-07 0.000003 0.000015 0.000045 0.000102 0.000206
2026-03-29 NaN 1.495649e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000045 0.000104 0.000213
2026-04-05 NaN 1.124147e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000046 0.000109 0.000224